Estimates and projections

Statistics about the size, composition, and geographic distribution of New Zealand’s population. Find out about:

Estimates

Explore our population estimates statistics.

Information releases

Information releases give you an overview of key population estimates. They include a commentary, graphs, and tables.

National population estimates 
Find quarterly information for the estimated resident population of New Zealand.

Subnational population estimates 
Find annual information for the estimated resident population for regional councils and territorial authorities in New Zealand.

topData

Analyse the numbers.

Māori population estimates 
Estimates of the Māori population of New Zealand by age and sex.

Historical population estimates tables 
Population estimates for New Zealand by sex from 1926.

Dwelling and household estimates 
National dwelling and household estimates from 1991 by tenure.

Population estimates at 30 June 1996, 2001, and 2006 
Estimates by ethnicity, age, sex, regional council, territorial authority, and area unit. These tables are available from NZ.Stat.

Population estimates at 30 June 2006–13 
Estimates for the years between censuses, by age, sex, regional council, territorial authority, area unit, and local government area. These tables are available from NZ.Stat.

Use NZ.Stat to access and customise further breakdowns of population estimates data.
Find out more about NZ.Stat.

Population pyramids present the age and sex structure of the population. See:

Infoshare
Use Infoshare to access time-series population estimates data. Select the following categories:
Subject category: Population
Group: Population estimates and Demography dwelling and household estimates

The following data is available in this Infoshare category:

  • National population estimates by age and sex from 1991 (annual and quarterly)
  • National population change by component from 1991
  • Subnational population estimates for regional councils, territorial authorities, and urban areas from 1996
  • National dwelling and household estimates from 1991
  • Estimated de facto population from 1936 to 1997 (select 'show discontinued').

Find out more about Infoshare.  

topInformation about data

Get technical information such as classifications used, survey design, and a glossary of statistical terms.

DataInfo+
DataInfo+ allows you to search and browse for information about our statistical activities and data. Find information about the concepts used in the population estimates data: 

topProjections

Explore our national and subnational population projections.

Information releases

Information releases give you an overview of key population projections. They include a commentary, graphs, and tables.

National population projections
Find out the projected population of New Zealand for dates up to 2061.

Subnational population projections
Find out the projected populations of regional council and territorial authority areas within New Zealand for dates up to 2031. 

National ethnic population projections
Find out the projected Māori, Pacific, Asian, and European ethnic populations of New Zealand for dates up to 2026.

National labour force projections
Find out the projected number of people in New Zealand’s labour force, by age and sex, for dates up to 2061.

National family and household projections
Find out the projected number of families and households in New Zealand, by family type and household type, for dates up to 2031.

Subnational family and household projections
Information about the projected number of families and households in regional council and territorial authority areas within New Zealand. Find the projected numbers, by family type and household type, for dates up to 2031.

topData

Analyse the numbers.

Subnational ethnic population projections
Subnational ethnic population projections by age, sex, regional council, and territorial authority.

Subnational family and household projections additional tables
Information about additional tables that are available on request.

Population projections tables 
Projections by age, sex, regional council, territorial authority, and area unit. These tables are available from NZ.Stat.

National ethnic population projections tables
Projections by age and sex. These tables are available from NZ.Stat.

National labour force projections 
Projections by age and sex. These tables are available from NZ.Stat.

Use NZ.Stat to access and customise further breakdowns of population projections data.
Find out more about NZ.Stat.

Infoshare
Select the following categories from the Infoshare homepage for national family and household projections: 
Subject category: Population
Group: Demography national family and household projections

Find out more about Infoshare.

topInformation about data

Get technical information such as classifications used, survey design, and a glossary of statistical terms. 

DataInfo+
DataInfo+ allows you to search and browse for information about our statistical activities and data. Find information about the concepts used in the population projections data:
Demographic projections

topReports and articles

Demographic trends 
Our main publication about population and related statistics.

Projections overview 
An overview of the demographic projections we produce.

Forecasting mortality in New Zealand (published 2014)
A paper describing a new method for formulating mortality assumptions that was implemented in official New Zealand population projections in 2012.

Evaluation of administrative data sources for subnational population estimates (published 2013)
Describes the potential for four administrative data sources to improve subnational population estimates.

How will New Zealand's ageing population affect the property market? (published 2013)
A paper considering some of the implications of an ageing population for the property market.

Planning for the future: Structural change in New Zealand’s population, labour force, and productivity (published 2012)
An overview of the demographic projections at the heart of fiscal sustainability.

See more estimates and projections reports and articles.