• Share this page to Facebook
  • Share this page to Twitter
  • Share this page to Google+
Subnational Population Estimates: At 30 June 2010
Embargoed until 10:45am  –  26 October 2010
Technical notes

Population measures

Statistics New Zealand commonly produces three population measures: the census night population count, the census usually resident population count, and the estimated resident population.

The census night population count of an area in New Zealand is a count of all people present in that area on a given census night. This count includes visitors from elsewhere in New Zealand and visitors from overseas who are counted in that area on census night, but excludes residents of that area who are temporarily elsewhere in New Zealand or overseas on census night.

The census usually resident population count of an area in New Zealand is a count of all people who usually live in that area and are present in New Zealand on a given census night. This count excludes visitors from overseas, visitors from elsewhere in New Zealand, and residents temporarily overseas on census night.

The estimated resident population of an area in New Zealand is an estimate of all people who usually live in that area at a given date. This estimate includes all residents of that area present in New Zealand and counted by the census (census usually resident population count), residents who are temporarily overseas (who are not included in the census), and an adjustment for residents missed or counted more than once by the census (net census undercount). Visitors from elsewhere in New Zealand or from overseas are excluded.

The population counts published from the census are not comparable with the estimated resident population.

Base population

The estimated resident population at 30 June 2006 forms the base population for deriving the estimated resident population at a given date following the 2006 Census. The base population is also used in the revision of intercensal population estimates for the five-year period between the 2001 and 2006 Censuses.

The estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2006 is based on the census usually resident population count from the 2006 Census (held on 7 March 2006), with adjustments for:

  1. net census undercount
  2. residents temporarily overseas on census night
  3. births, deaths, and net migration between census night and 30 June 2006
  4. reconciliation with demographic estimates at ages 0–4 years. 

 

Derivation of subnational population estimates 

Subnational population estimates were derived by updating the estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2006 for births, deaths, net international migration, and net internal migration. Owing to delays between the occurrence of births and deaths and their registration, it is necessary to estimate births and deaths to produce timely population estimates. International migration is based on permanent and long-term migration statistics, which are primarily determined by the passenger's response, on the arrival or departure card, to the questions on where they live and their length of stay or absence. Symptomatic data series (eg residential building consents and electoral enrolments) are used to estimate the internal migration component.

Estimated natural increase (excess of births over deaths) and net migration (international and internal migration combined) for regional council areas are included in table 4 of this release. Components of population change for territorial authority areas and urban areas are available on request (email: demography@stats.govt.nz).

Boundaries

The subnational population estimates contained in the 'Tables' section of this release are based on regional council area, territorial authority area, and urban area boundaries at 30 June 2010.

A new unitary authority (the Auckland Council) becomes operational on 1 November 2010, and several related boundary changes come into effect. The boundary changes are described in the 'Commentary' section of this information release. Subnational population estimates at 30 June 2001–10, based on regional council area, territorial authority area, and urban area boundaries at 1 November 2010, are available. Refer to Subnational population estimates tables on the Statistics NZ website (www.stats.govt.nz).

The population of the North Island is the sum of the population of North Island regions, and the population of the South Island is the sum of the population of South Island regions.

Urban areas are defined on the basis of the 1996 census usually resident population count. Main urban areas have a 1996 census usually resident population count of 30,000 or more, whereas secondary urban areas have a 1996 census usually resident population count between 10,000 and 29,999. As a result, Gore is still classified as a secondary urban area, even though the 2006 census usually resident population count and the estimated resident populations at 30 June 2005–10 fall below the 10,000 population mark.

Rounding

All figures in this release have been rounded independently. Estimates for areas with a population less than 10,000 are rounded to the nearest 10. Estimates for areas with a population between 10,000 and 20,000 are rounded to the nearest 50. Estimates for areas with a population of 20,000 or more are rounded to the nearest 100.

All derived figures in this release have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.

Final figures

The estimates in this release are provisional. They incorporate provisional estimates of the number of births and deaths that occurred in the June 2010 year. Final estimates for regional council areas, territorial authority areas, and main and secondary urban areas will be available on the Statistics NZ website (www.stats.govt.nz) by 30 November 2010. In addition, population estimates after 30 June 2006 will be revised following results from the 2011 Census of Population and Dwellings.

Availability of other subnational population estimates

Final estimates, by five-year age group and sex, for regional council areas, territorial authority areas, and area units, will be made freely available on the Statistics NZ website (via Table Builder) on 20 December 2010. The estimates will be based on boundaries at 1 November 2010.

Final estimates for wards, community boards, subdivisions, constituencies, and district health boards (at the total population level) will be available on the Statistics NZ website by 28 January 2011.

Estimates for other subnational areas (eg minor urban areas) will be available on request from January 2011 (email: demography@stats.govt.nz).

Subnational population estimates at 30 June 1996–2010 are available on our online database Infoshare (demography population estimates in the Population category).

2011-base population estimates

The 2011 Census of Population and Dwellings will take place on Tuesday 8 March 2011. The 2011 Census website (www.census.govt.nz) provides information about the census.

Subnational population estimates at 30 June 2011, based on the 2006 Census, will be released on 25 October 2011. Population estimates based on the 2011 Census will be released from August 2012.

More information

For more information, refer to information about the population estimates on the Statistics NZ website.

Quarterly national population estimates by single-year of age, five-year age group, and selected age groups are available via Infoshare on the Statistics NZ website (demography age estimates in the Population category).

National population estimates for the Māori ethnic group are updated twice a year on the Statistics NZ website.

Copyright

Information obtained from Statistics NZ may be freely used, reproduced, or quoted unless otherwise specified. In all cases Statistics NZ must be acknowledged as the source.

Liability

While care has been used in processing, analysing and extracting information, Statistics NZ gives no warranty that the information supplied is free from error. Statistics NZ shall not be liable for any loss suffered through the use, directly or indirectly, of any information, product or service.

Timing

Timed statistical releases are delivered using postal and electronic services provided by third parties. Delivery of these releases may be delayed by circumstances outside the control of Statistics NZ. Statistics NZ accepts no responsibility for any such delays.

  • Share this page to Facebook
  • Share this page to Twitter
  • Share this page to Google+
Top
  • Share this page to Facebook
  • Share this page to Twitter
  • Share this page to Google+