Highlights
- New Zealand's population will reach five million by the late 2020s, according to the mid-range projection scenario (series 5).
- The population growth rate will slow steadily under all projection scenarios because of the narrowing gap between births and deaths.
- Deaths are projected to exceed births in the 2050s under series 5.
- The age structure of the population will continue to undergo gradual but significant changes resulting in more older people and further ageing of the population.
- Under all projection scenarios, the number of New Zealanders aged 65 years and over is projected to exceed one million by the late 2020s, compared with half a million in 2006.
- People aged 65 years and over are projected to outnumber those aged under 15 years in the mid-2020s.
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Geoff Bascand
Government Statistician |
24 October 2007
ISSN 1178-0584 |
There is a companion Media Release published – National Population Projections: 2006 (base) – 2061.
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